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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.According to OpenAI, ChatGPT is now integrated into Apple's iOS, iPadOS and macOS, and users will be able to access ChatGPT through these systems.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.

Blackstone secured loan fund will issue 300 million USD 5.350% unsecured notes at a fixed price, with a maturity date of 2028.Front page of China Securities Journal: Give better play to the role of "stabilizer". The reform of the investment side of the capital market has been solidly promoted. The front page of China Securities Journal stated that efforts should be made to break through the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds entering the market, steadily promote the reform of industry rates in Public Offering of Fund, and vigorously develop equity funds, especially indexed investment ... Recently, the reform of the investment side has been accelerated, helping to improve the function of the capital market in which investment and financing are coordinated. Market participants expect that in the next stage, around the key directions such as guiding "long money" to enter the market, enriching the product system, and promoting the development of indexed investment, the reform of the investment side will continue to be solidly promoted, and more new measures are expected to be researched and introduced, which will introduce more incremental funds to the market and better play its role as a "stabilizer" of the market. The market expects that the acceleration of investment-side reform will significantly increase the scale and proportion of medium and long-term capital investment, promote the long-term investment behavior and enhance the inherent stability of the capital market.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has added a large channel, the Huangmaohai cross-sea channel, to traffic; 2. The five departments issued a document to strengthen the recruitment and employment security of manufacturing industry and promote the formation of a recruitment and employment consortium; In March and November, the production and sales of new energy vehicles increased by 45.8% and 47.4% respectively. 4. Promote common development with the spirit of "helping each other with the same ball" (harmony); 5. Experts from the World Economic Forum: China has contributed to the global clean energy transformation; 6. Gao Yunlong attended the opening ceremony of the second Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference and delivered a speech; 7. The natural gas supply capacity of "three highs and one drop" in coal supply and demand during peak winter has been further improved; 8. Pay attention to system integration and build a high-level socialist market economic system with systematic thinking (targeted); 9. The market scale of China's crop seed industry exceeded 150 billion yuan for the first time last year. Industry-University-Research used integrated seed industry to improve quality and efficiency (high-quality development sees highlights and readings); In October and November, the passenger traffic of urban rail transit exceeded 2.7 billion passengers; 11, China's first 500 kv provincial digital power grid construction progress more than half; 12. Hangzhou Market Supervision Bureau launched the "Safe Consumption Receipt Code"; 13. Indonesia plans to add a number of special economic zones in the next four years; 14. Economic Outlook Report of the European Commission in Autumn 2024-The EU economy is expected to grow by 0.9% this year; 15. The Japanese enterprise price index reached the highest year-on-year increase in 17 months.

Front page of securities daily: vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of current macro policy. The front page article of securities daily points out that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. In recent years, China has issued a series of policies to promote consumption, which has brought vitality to the consumer market; The rapid development of some emerging consumption patterns has brought new growth points to the consumer market. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Income is the primary factor that determines consumption. With income, residents have the confidence to spend. Therefore, on the one hand, it is necessary to increase residents' property income through multiple channels and enhance residents' consumption ability and willingness; On the other hand, it is necessary to increase support for key groups and enhance the overall consumption capacity. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption.Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.